Rabu, 31 Oktober 2012

[E297.Ebook] Free PDF Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 1, Predictive Modeling Techniques (International Series on Actuarial Science)

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Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 1, Predictive Modeling Techniques (International Series on Actuarial Science)

Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 1, Predictive Modeling Techniques (International Series on Actuarial Science)



Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 1, Predictive Modeling Techniques (International Series on Actuarial Science)

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Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 1, Predictive Modeling Techniques (International Series on Actuarial Science)

Predictive modeling involves the use of data to forecast future events. It relies on capturing relationships between explanatory variables and the predicted variables from past occurrences and exploiting this to predict future outcomes. Forecasting future financial events is a core actuarial skill - actuaries routinely apply predictive-modeling techniques in insurance and other risk-management applications. This book is for actuaries and other financial analysts who are developing their expertise in statistics and wish to become familiar with concrete examples of predictive modeling. The book also addresses the needs of more seasoned practicing analysts who would like an overview of advanced statistical topics that are particularly relevant in actuarial practice. Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science emphasizes life-long learning by developing tools in an insurance context, providing the relevant actuarial applications, and introducing advanced statistical techniques that can be used by analysts to gain a competitive advantage in situations with complex data.

  • Sales Rank: #873572 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-07-28
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.72" h x 1.46" w x 6.85" l, 2.45 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 563 pages

Review
"With contributions coming from a wide variety of researchers, professors, and actuaries - including several CAS Fellows - it's clear that this book will be valuable for any P and C actuary whose main concern is using predictive modeling in his or her own work."
David Zornek, Actuarial Review

About the Author
E. W. Frees is a Professor of Business at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and is holder of the Fortis Health Insurance Professorship of Actuarial Science. He is a Fellow of both the Society of Actuaries and the American Statistical Association. He has served in several editorial capacities including Editor of the North American Actuarial Journal and Associate Editor for Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. An award-winning researcher, he as published in the leading refereed academic journals in Business and Economics and Theoretical and Applied Statistics.

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Most helpful customer reviews

7 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
A Welcome New Resource on an Important Subject
By H I Weisberg
Predictive modeling has become a hot topic in light of the new era of Big Data that is emerging. It occupies a unique position at the intersection of traditional statistical methods and machine learning algorithms. Practitioners of the art of model-building can benefit from the knowledge base provided by both disciplines. This excellent compendium focuses mainly on the statistical side of the equation. It offers comprehensive coverage of the relevant statistical techniques and can serve as a valuable reference and resource. The editors should be commended for the high quality of both the content and writing maintained throughout.
Each chapter is almost a stand-alone mini-textbook on a particular method, and is introduced by a brief and informative summary. Each method is illustrated with well-developed insurance-related applications and R code for implementing the analyses. The presentation is sometimes at a fairly high mathematical level, but remains firmly moored to practical applications. Although the context is actuarial science, it may well be of interest to a wider audience.
Perhaps the editors can be persuaded to undertake an equally impressive volume devoted to the machine-learning side of predictive modeling. Personally, I would like to see chapters dealing with various popular machine-learning techniques such as CART, Lasso, neural nets, genetic algorithms, KNN etc. Chapters on such supervised learning techniques would complement the excellent chapter by Louise Francis on unsupervised learning in the current volume. In any case, I look forward to the second planned companion volume that will present a wide range of case studies on actual projects.

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By AR
Data and associated R code is available at: http://instruction.bus.wisc.edu/jfrees/jfreesbooks/PredictiveModelingVol1/index.htm

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
A useful practitioner's reference not limited to insurance
By Daniel C
This book has a wealth of information and, in general, is written with enough of both mathematical rigor and practical worked examples. Being a collection of almost independently written chapters, its exposition style not always internally consistent, however, if you are willing to overlook that and are willing to put some effort into understanding what is being said, you will find it quite useful. Refreshingly, it covers both traditional and Bayesian approach to regression modeling. Even though it is advertised as a reference for insurance professionals, the material covered applies to virtually any area of predictive analytics, including healthcare, market research, reliability and fraud analysis. Given its value to the practitioner, it is definitely a worthy purchase. I am looking forward to Volume II.

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Selasa, 30 Oktober 2012

[H424.Ebook] Get Free Ebook The Narrative of Cabeza de Vaca

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New copy. Fast shipping. Will be shipped from US.

  • Published on: 1709
  • Binding: Paperback

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Senin, 29 Oktober 2012

[Q754.Ebook] PDF Download Exploring Corporate Strategy, by Gerry Johnson, Kevan Scholes

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Exploring Corporate Strategy, by Gerry Johnson, Kevan Scholes

This book brings together the underlying concepts, analytical methods, processes of development and problems of corporate strategy, enabling readers to understand the role of corporate strategy within a variety of organizations and providing guidance in the formulation and implementation of strategy. Features include: an approach based on economic analysis and planning, and organizational decision-making within a social, political and cultural process; a strongly European/international perspective, with more than 60 company illustrations; an integrated treatment of the cultural context of strategy; coverage of the increasingly important issues of power and process of strategy, formulation and change; a case section comprising 17 studies. The text includes diagrams of key frameworks, chapter introductions, end-of-section work assignments, references and key readings. Features new to the fourth edition include: competences, core competences and links to the value chain; bases of stategy at corporate and business level; global aspects of strategic management; corporate parenting and control; strategic architecture; networks, allians and virtual organizations; the strategic importance of information; and mechanisms of strategic change.

  • Sales Rank: #15182905 in Books
  • Published on: 1988-07
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 350 pages

From the Back Cover

Over 600,000 students worldwide have used this best-selling book to understand and explore strategic management through their academic and professional careers.

Exploring Corporate Strategy has established a reputation as a pre-eminent textbook in its field, based upon the expertise of authorship, range of cases, depth of commentary and wealth of supporting resources.

The�seventh edition builds on these strengths with the introduction of a new author, Richard Whittington. The enhanced coverage of international strategy and the resource-based view, as well as improved visual presentation ensure that this book continues to lead the way in exploring strategic management.

'Exploring Corporate Strategy is one of the outstanding texts in international management education. It combines clarity of structure and presentation with topical and enduring examples. It also has a depth of synthesis and critical reflection based on relevant research which is rare in textbooks.'

Andrew Pettigrew, Bath University Business School, United Kingdom

'Exploring Corporate Strategy is strong at integrating theory and practice � has an international perspective both in its theoretical coverage and its empirical illustrations and cases � is comprehensive and easy to combine with further theoretical readings.'

Leif Melin, Jonkoping International Business School, Sweden

'The�seventh edition of this textbook offers yet another step in improvement both in the area of student support and its overall coverage. In particular the website is easily accessible, user friendly and provides a range of supplementary resources to engage and reinforce students' understanding of this complex area of study.'

John Toth, Leeds Business School, Leeds Metropolitan University, United Kingdom

'Exploring Corporate Strategy strikes a balance because it provides sound methodology and analysis, cleverly combined with a well-reasoned introduction to more contemporary�paradigms. Thoughtful use of figures and tables provides clarity for students; the detailed cases are ideal for teaching purposes.'

Gerard Betros, University of Southern Queensland, Australia

Most helpful customer reviews

17 of 18 people found the following review helpful.
An excellent introduction to Strategic Management
By Chatterbox
This is one of my favourite strategy texts. At first, I found this book fairly heavy reading. However, once I got deeper into the subject, I found it very useful (especially when I was studying for an MBA). I believe that the text provides the reader with a good grounding on strategic principles on which to build more specialist knowledge of the subject.
The text covers all the key steps of strategy development including analysis, selection and implementation. For each step, Johnson and Scholes also provides a number of techniques (including, PEST analysis, Porter's Diamond, Porter's Five Forces, Value Chain analysis, SWOT, Cultural Web, etc).

11 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Best study book in Strategy currently available
By Roland Buresund
When being midway in my MBA Strategy course, I bought this book. I've never regretted it, and it continues to be one of my favorites. In fact, I have many times wished I had it as my study litterature, as the authors manage to get thru a number of subjects in sufficient detail to make it understandable. I would recommend this book to anyone interested in the subject. If you're not interested in Strategy, skip this book, as they are very concentrated on making you understand and learn what they are discussing. In short, I won't trade this book for anything, it saved my hide a number of times during study and I keep getting back to it to refresh my memory or understand some finer points.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Material Great... Printed Product - not so much!
By Amazon Customer
The textbook is excellent and insightful. As someone coming to the subject of Strategy for the first time - this book is easy to read, using simple terms and interesting material, with lots of good, clear, up to date examples - I have been completely enthused by it! I have really enjoyed reading this book and found it very useful.

However - the quality of the actual book received was disappointing. Some of the pages are printed skew, some of the extreme edges have even been cut off - so that some page numbers are missing or cut in half. And the quality of the print on glossy paper is not good - if you make pencil notes as I sometimes do, and then need to erase it/change it - the eraser takes the print clean off the page with the pencil scribblings. Whilst none of these things are completely insurmountable, it does irritate me - someone who is fanatical about maintaining the pristine nature of a new book. We pay a lot of money for these textbooks, we (I) intend to use them for reference for many years to come, but one wonders how well this book will in fact stand the reglar use?!
Also, the publisher has used a glossy paper type which is very awkward to read at night when your eyes are tired - my desk lamp (low energy tube) creates a shine on the page that results in some interesting juggling of the book to avoid! Whilst this makes the book look "nice" I would suggest that subsequent printings use a different paper.

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Jumat, 26 Oktober 2012

[C212.Ebook] Fee Download To Ride the Wind: The Frontier Series 6, by Peter Watt

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To Ride the Wind: The Frontier Series 6, by Peter Watt

"the home grown version of Wilbur Smith" The Sunday Age

In 1916, the Duffys and Macintoshes are entangled in the horrors of World War I. From the deserts of the Middle East to the trenches of Europe, the hand of death is always present. But even those left behind are not safe, for the most dangerous of enemies is not the Germans or the Turks, but someone much closer to home...

To Ride the Wind continues the story begun in To Touch the Clouds, following Peter Watt's much-loved characters as they fight to survive one of the most devastating conflicts in history - and each other.


PRAISE FOR THE SERIES

"A rousing and revealing yarn" Weekend Australian

"the historical detail brings the ... 19th century to rip-roaring life" The Australian

"Watt's fans love his work for its history, adventure and storytelling" Brisbane News

  • Sales Rank: #402208 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2010-11-01
  • Released on: 2010-11-01
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Not the penultimate I hope.
By Shorty
Nimber 6 of 7, so far. Hard to review, I feel like I'm repeating myself, having read and reviewed all the others. You be the judge, intrigue, murder, deception, romance, historic, hard to put down. Scottish and Irish pioneering families in outback Australia feuding, falling in love, going to war. It has it all yet again.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Evil prevails as oldest son outsmarts his opponents!
By JK
The author story is well written but his efforts draw readers into buying more of the sequel leaves me with the feeling that the"good" characters lack the intelligence to out maneuver him and bring him down.

I site Patrick and his son Alex whom the author has developed into a intense military personalities but lacking the intelligence or desire to protect themselves from Georges actions to wrest away their shares in family enterprises. This shows lack of realistic attitudes and character.

It becomes tiresome and distasteful as a reader to have the author develope plots and events that continue to advance the greed and unethical plans of the evil George. No matter how well the"good guys" try they lose out to George; suffer war injuries, cheated out of their inheritances, killed by crooked police, etc. Author could develop content that at least shows that the "good guys" are not dim witted and are able to deal with evil not having to suffer to the deathes, injuries, and multitude of misfortunes.

Evil George whom is also under the curse has not been affected by it at all? Something a good writer would not allow to transpire obviously another miscue by this author that does relate well. Again the author's clumsy attempt to have you buy another seauel!

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
A great read
By Amazon Customer
Also another good read from Peter Watt. you keep my interest up once again in your books. You don't want to put the down until you have finish.

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Selasa, 16 Oktober 2012

[U695.Ebook] Ebook Free Practice Makes Perfect Algebra (Practice Makes Perfect (McGraw-Hill)), by Carolyn Wheater

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Practice Makes Perfect Algebra (Practice Makes Perfect (McGraw-Hill)), by Carolyn Wheater

Practice Makes Perfect Algebra (Practice Makes Perfect (McGraw-Hill)), by Carolyn Wheater



Practice Makes Perfect Algebra (Practice Makes Perfect (McGraw-Hill)), by Carolyn Wheater

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Practice Makes Perfect Algebra (Practice Makes Perfect (McGraw-Hill)), by Carolyn Wheater

A no-nonsense, practical guide to help you improve your algebra skills with solid instruction and plenty of practice, practice, practice

Practice Makes Perfect: Algebra presents thorough coverage of skills, such as handling decimals and fractions, functions, and linear and quadratic equations. Inside you will find the help you need for boosting your skills, preparing for an exam or re-introducing yourself to the subject. More than 500 exercises and answers covering all aspects of algebra will get you on your way to mastering algebra!

  • Sales Rank: #195391 in Books
  • Published on: 2010-07-08
  • Released on: 2010-07-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.90" h x .50" w x 8.60" l, 1.01 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 192 pages

About the Author
Carolyn Wheater teaches middle school and upper school mathematics at the Nightingale-Bamford School in New York City. Educated at Marymount Manhattan College and the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, she has taught math and computer technology for 30 years to students from preschool through college. She is a member of National Council of Teachers of Mathematics (NCTM) and the Association of Teachers in Independent Schools.

Most helpful customer reviews

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Using quite frequently
By makingadiff
I purchased this item for several reasons. I like the progression of the lessons. I work with students duridng the year and in the summer they would like to review specific topics. This book helps to determine any weaknesses that need to be strengthened. I am working with different students on different levels using this book. It provides enough for each.

8 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
not for the novice
By vin
I purchased this book to brush up on my math, and after 18 years of not using advance math, I have forgotten just about everything. With that said, this book is horrible if you require more than the answers. Full solutions should have been provided and are not. If you are not good with math or not in a classroom setting with peers and teachers to work with, do not purchase this book. Lots of typos which confuse things as well... "...if the inequality sign is , and a ..." comma should be

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Minggu, 14 Oktober 2012

[J133.Ebook] Download Out of Many, Brief Edition, Volume 1, by John Mack Faragher, Mari Jo Buhle, Susan H. Armitage, Daniel H. Czitrom

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Out of Many, Brief Edition, Volume 1, by John Mack Faragher, Mari Jo Buhle, Susan H. Armitage, Daniel H. Czitrom



Out of Many, Brief Edition, Volume 1, by John Mack Faragher, Mari Jo Buhle, Susan H. Armitage, Daniel H. Czitrom

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Out of Many, Brief Edition, Volume 1, by John Mack Faragher, Mari Jo Buhle, Susan H. Armitage, Daniel H. Czitrom

This is the eBook of the printed book and may not include any media, website access codes, or print supplements that may come packaged with the bound book.

Offers students insight into how diverse communities and different regions have shaped America's past.

For the two-semester U.S. history survey course.

Out of Many, brief edition, reveals the ethnic, geographical and economic diversity of the United States by examining the individual, the community and the state and placing a special focus on the country's regions, particularly the West. Each chapter helps students understand the textured and varied history that has produced the increasing complexity of America. This book is the abridged version of Out of Many, seventh edition.


Teaching and Learning Experience

Personalize Learning-The new MyHistoryLab delivers proven results in helping students succeed, provides engaging experiences that personalize learning and comes from a trusted partner with educational expertise and a deep commitment to helping students and instructors achieve their goals.

Improve Critical Thinking- Seeing History images and critical thinking questions help students use visual culture to make sense of the past.�

Engage Students- Each chapter begins with an American Communities feature that shows how the events discussed in the chapter affected particular communities for a well-rounded understanding of American history.

Support Instructors- MyHistoryLab, ClassPrep, an Instructor’s Manual, MyTest and PowerPoints.

Note: MyHistoryLab does not come automatically packaged with this text. To purchase MyHistoryLab at no extra charge, please visit www.MyHistoryLab.com or use the following (VP ISBN-10: 0205215793,�VP ISBN-13: 9780205215799)

  • Sales Rank: #100639 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2012-08-23
  • Released on: 2012-08-23
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review

The use of documents and images are the most compelling features of Out of Many, TLC … The use of these also reflects current pedagogical trends emphasizing visual learning or tools and uses of primary sources.

����������� -Jeff Crane, Sam Houston State University

The book has a nice, easy-to-read narrative style that is supplemented well with images and useful “extra” features such as American Communities. It is a very good text.

����������� -Julie Courtwright, Texas A&M University

…visually appealing and engaging to the students.

����������� -Robert B. Bruce, Sam Houston State University

The broad-ranging, multicultural, multiethnic focus is this book’s greatest strength. This is what sets it apart from most other textbooks.

����������� -Brian D. Behnken, Texas A&M University

The single most compelling attribute of Out of Many, TLC is its smooth comprehensiveness. It is thorough without being overly simplified. Out of Many, TLC is user-friendly and very approachable for students.

����������� -Michael K. Ward, California State University-Northridge

From the Back Cover

More than 4 million students are now using Pearson MyLab products!

Here are just a few ways MyHistoryLab can help you save time and improve results:

Pearson eText — Just like the printed text, students can highlight and add their own notes. Students save time and improve results by having access to their book online.

Gradebook — Students can monitor their progress and instructors can monitor the progress of their entire class. Automated grading of quizzes and assignments helps both instructors and students save time and monitor their results throughout the course.

History Bookshelf — This compendium of resources includes up to 100 most commonly assigned history works like Thomas Paine’s Common Sense , Upton Sinclair’s The Jungle , and Machiavelli’s The Prince .

To order this book with MyHistoryLab access at no extra charge, use ISBN 9780205215799.

www.myhistorylab.com

About the Author

John Mack Faragher

John Mack Faragher is an Arthur Unobskey professor of American history and the director of the Howard R. Lamar Center for the Study of Frontiers and Borders at Yale University. Born in Arizona and raised in southern California, he received his B.A. at the University of California, Riverside, and his Ph.D. at Yale University. He is the author of Women and Men on the Overland Trail (1979), Sugar Creek: Life on the Illinois Prairie (1986), Daniel Boone: The Life and Legend of an American Pioneer (1992), The American West: A New Interpretive History (2000) and A Great and Noble Scheme: The Tragic Story of the Expulsion of the French Acadians from their American Homeland (2005).

Mari Jo Buhle

Mari Jo Buhle is a William R. Kenan, Jr. University professor emerita of American civilization and history at Brown University specializing in American women’s history. She received her B.A. from the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign and her Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin, Madison. She is the author of Women and American Socialism, 1870-1920 (1981) and Feminism and Its Discontents: A Century of Struggle with Psychoanalysis (1998). She is also the co-editor of the Encyclopedia of the American Left (second edition, 1998). Buhle held a fellowship (1991-1996) from the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. She is currently an honorary fellow of the history department at the University of Wisconsin, Madison.

Daniel Czitrom

Daniel Czitrom is a professor of history at Mount Holyoke College. Born and raised in New York City, he received his B.A. from the State University of New York at Binghamton and his M.A. and Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin, Madison. He is the author of Media and the American Mind: From Morse to McLuhan (1982), which won the First Books Award of the American Historical Association and has been translated into Spanish and Chinese. He is the co-author of Rediscovering Jacob Riis: Exposure Journalism and Photography in Turn of the Century New York (2008). He has served as a historical consultant and been featured as an on-camera commentator for several documentary film projects, including the PBS productions New York : A Documentary Film, American Photography: A Century of Images and The Great Transatlantic Cable.�He is currently writing New York Exposed: How a Gilded Age Police Scandal Shocked the Nation and Launched the Progressive Era (Oxford).

Susan H. Armitage

Susan H. Armitage is a professor of history and women’s studies emerita at Washington State University, where she was a Claudius O. and Mary R. Johnson distinguished professor. She earned her Ph.D. from the London School of Economics and Political Science. Among her many publications on western women’s history are three co-edited books, The Women’s West (1987), So Much To Be Done: Women on the Mining and Ranching Frontier (1991) and Writing the Range: Race, Class, and Culture in the Women’s West (1997). She served as�editor of the feminist journal Frontiers from 1996 to 2002.� Her most recent publication, co-edited with Laurie Mercier, is Speaking History: Oral Histories of the American Past, 1865-Present (2009).

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Good summary information
By Momma
Nothing can replace a good instructor to illuminate a topic, but this text provides a good basic summary of US History. It is well-paced and sensibly arranged. It held my attention for the hours of reading required.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
i dont often give digital purchases a one star. ...
By DylanUSArmyRet.
i dont often give digital purchases a one star. this particular one is getting one because it is simply incompatible with all forms of technology that i own. i am an individual who has sustained significant vision loss due to a combat related injury. this book is not compatible with the kindle 3g keyboard, the kindle paper white, or even my windows 10 laptop. thus the only medium in which i could read this was my Iphone 6 plus. not really an option. please either format your books to work with an actual kindle or at least patch them to work with windows 10 as they dont even work with windows 8 yet.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
awesome
By Kristine Burnett
this book gave so much info that i never learned and it truly delved into the cultural depth of the states and the dynamics of race politics and money and it was the most honest and accurate book historically ive read, i love this book and wouldnt sell it back, its a keeper*

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Rabu, 03 Oktober 2012

[M612.Ebook] Get Free Ebook Wolf and Stanley on Environmental Law, by Susan Wolf, Neil Stanley

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Wolf and Stanley on Environmental Law, by Susan Wolf, Neil Stanley

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Wolf and Stanley on Environmental Law, by Susan Wolf, Neil Stanley

Written with real clarity by authors teaching and researching in the field, Wolf and Stanley on Environmental Law offers an excellent starting point for both law and non-law students encountering this diverse and controversial subject for the first time. Topics covered include�administration and enforcement, waste management, EU environmental law,�pollution control, environmental permitting, contaminated land, environmental torts and private regulation.

The book is supported by a range of learning features designed to help students:

  • Consolidate your learning: Chapter learning objectives and detailed summaries clarify and highlight key points
  • Understand how the law works in practice: ‘Law in Action’ features demonstrate the application of pollution control law
  • Plan your research: Detailed end of chapter further reading sections outline articles, books and online resources that provide next steps for your research

This sixth edition has been updated and revised to take into account recent developments in the subject, including coverage of the Environmental Permitting (England and Wales) Regulations 2010; developments in the Environment Agency enforcement and sanctions policy documents; and updates relating to the defence of statutory authority in the tort of private nuisance.

Suitable for students of environmental law and the wider environmental studies, Wolf and Stanley on Environmental Law is a valuable guide to this wide-ranging subject.

Susan Wolf is Principal Lecturer in Law at the University of Northumbria.

Neil Stanley is Lecturer in Law at the University of Leeds.

  • Sales Rank: #6544418 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-10-30
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.60" h x 1.50" w x 6.80" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 664 pages

About the Author

Susan Wolf is Principal Lecturer in Law at the University of Northumbria.

Neil Stanley is Lecturer in Law at the University of Leeds.

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